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Commercial Real Estate Investment
Property
Midwest Market Grows
New opportunities sprout in most commercial real estate sectors.
By Carolyn Bilsky
America's heartland, known for a slower pace of life than either
coast, didn't see many dramatic commercial real estate developments
during the past year. But the Midwest did see some modest improvements.
Leasing rates throughout the region increased slightly in each
sector, except industrial which evened out, reports Grubb &
Ellis. Moderate economic growth should increase the leasing market's
momentum but not cause interest rates to spike, which could derail
the strong investment market, the report adds.
The retail market shows promise this year. An abundance of construction
and new development has begun or is underway throughout the region,
including new retail centers in Indianapolis and Milwaukee and a
possible addition to Minneapolis' Mall of America.
New multifamily construction also has been a regional trend, including
luxury condominiums in Cleveland and Milwaukee. Loft-style living
in mixed-use properties that provide work and play opportunities
are gaining popularity in many heartland cities.
Nearly one-fifth of U.S. manufacturing is based along the Great
Lakes, reports Grubb & Ellis, which emphasizes the importance
of the region's industrial market. Absorption of industrial space
in urban areas such as Chicago and Detroit remained positive, and
other cities showed small improvements as well.
Last year didn't end well for the Midwest's office market, with
Cincinnati, Kansas City, Mo., Cleveland, and Minneapolis experiencing
negative absorption, according to Colliers. But experts predict
the market slowly will improve and reach equilibrium by 2006.
The Midwest's friendly people and picturesque towns spur the region's
hospitality market. The lodging industry remains strong with growth
expected in Kansas City and Milwaukee, which both are revitalizing
their downtown districts.
If the economy continues its steady ascent, each commercial real
estate sector in the region should see gains by year-end.
Kansas City, Mo.Mixed-Use Mania
To revitalize its lagging downtown, Kansas City, Mo., teamed up
with the Cordish Co. on Kansas City Live!, a mixed-use entertainment
development. The project's first phase will open in summer 2006
and include 425,000 sf of retail and entertainment space. The second
phase includes 1.2 million sf of office space, 7,200 parking spaces,
and 1,200 residential units. The project is more than 70 percent
leased.
Michigan
Industrial Varies
While the outlook isn't particularly optimistic for the Detroit
industrial market, there does appear to be stability. Absorption
rates are improving slowly and rents mostly were flat through January.
Leasing trends vary by submarket.
- In southern Wayne County warehouse/distribution facilities saw
healthy leasing activity at the close of last year.
- In western Wayne County general industrial buildings saw the
greatest demand. A 102-acre build-to-suit project is planned for
this year by DeMattia, which is expected to add nearly 900,000
sf of industrial space.
- The southeast Oakland market saw leasing demand for manufacturing
space. New construction will add approximately 130,000 sf of general
industrial and distribution space this year.
- Research and development/flex space saw positive absorption
in the southwest Oakland market last year, but the warehouse sector
was inactive. Leasing rates for R&D/flex were stable, while
asking rates for general industrial and warehouse dropped 2 percent.
- The Macomb Township market saw an increase in leasing activity
for general industrial buildings, but a decrease in demand for
flex and warehouse properties. Asking rents for general industrial
and warehouse fell by nearly 4 percent.
Source: Grubb & Ellis
Minneapolis
Retail Vacancy Up
Last year, nine Minneapolis/St. Paul-based Mervyn's stores were
closed, accounting for more than 1.3 million sf of retail space.
As a result of the closings, regional mall vacancy increased to
14.9 percent by year-end, an increase of 11.3 percent from mid-year.
The closings led to Minneapolis' first decrease in retail absorption
and increase in retail vacancy since 1996.
The vacated Mervyn's properties present a number of possibilities.
Two have been leased by J.C. Penney Co., which plans to open renovated
stores this summer. Mall owners in Edina, Minn., and Roseville,
Minn., purchased one property each, while the other five remained
on the market as of January.
Chicago
Industrial Awakens
Chicago's industrial real estate market is on the verge of an upswing.
At the end of last year, more than 15 million sf of construction
had been started, a large increase over 2003's 11.3 million sf,
according to CB Richard Ellis. During 4Q04, 10 million sf of new
industrial space was completed, according to Grubb & Ellis.
In suburban markets, some older facilities are being razed for
new developments. During 4Q04, Copperweld Distribution Trust's 436,616-sf
Bedford Park, Ill., facility was sold to Ridge Property Trust, which
plans to build a speculative manufacturing and distribution facility
on the 22-acre site.
Overall, Chicago's industrial rents were up 0.6 percent at year-end
2004 to $4.87 psf. Rents are expected to continue to rise modestly
this year, according to Transwestern Commercial Services.
Omaha, Neb.
Office Market Stabilizes
- Omaha is home to five Fortune 500 companies including ConAgra
and Union Pacific.
- At year-end 2004, office space availability had decreased by
11 percent since mid-year.
- Despite several quarters of decline, rental rates show signs
of of plateauing with a 1 percent drop since 1Q04.
- Approximately 973,300 sf of new office construction is expected
to break ground over the next two to four years.
Sources: Lund Co., CB Richard Ellis, and Investors
Realty
Cleveland
Luxury Lives
In recent years luxury multifamily properties have popped up around
Cleveland, primarily in the historic Warehouse District. New developments
include:
The Bingham
• Converted from a former hardware company's headquarters
• Located in the Warehouse District
• 340 loft-style units
• Rents range from $710 to $2,400
District Park
• New construction in the Warehouse District
• Condominium, townhouse, and penthouse units range from 835
sf to 2,808 sf
• Unit prices begin at $170,000
The Pinnacle
• New construction adjacent to the Warehouse District
• 12-story building with condominiums ranging from 1,400 sf
to 4,600 sf
• Units priced between $300,000 and $1.2 million
Stonebridge
• Contemporary apartments and condominiums
• Located in the Flats
• Purchase prices range from $149,900 to $247,900
• Rents are between $650 and $900
Crocker Park
• New construction located in Westlake
• First phase features 160 apartments ranging from 670 sf
to 1,200 sf
• Rents are between $750 and $1,200
• Second phase will include townhomes and condominiums
Source: Heartland Real Estate Business
Indiana
Retail BlossomsIndianapolis is on track to become a midwestern
retail mecca with several new developments in the pipeline.
Later this year, construction will begin on a new mall along Interstate
70 near the Indianapolis International Airport. The 375-acre 70
West project is expected to be one of the largest retail developments
in the Midwest, according to the Indianapolis Star. The 3-million-sf
complex will take more than 10 years to build out, and while no
tenants have been announced, big-box retailers, an indoor/outdoor
mall, hotels, conference space, and a water park are among the features.
Central Indiana's first lifestyle center, Clay Terrace, in Carmel,
Ind., opened in October 2004 and features fountains, outdoor seating,
and surface parking in addition to 570,000 sf of mixed-use development,
according to Colliers Turley Martin Tucker. Tenants in the SPG and
Lauth Property Group joint venture include DSW Shoe Warehouse, Bath
& Body Works, Wild Oats, and Dick's Sporting Goods, among others.
Indiana Retail Activity
| 2004 NEW SHOPPING CENTERS |
MARKET AREA |
SQ. FT. |
| Clay Terrace |
Carmel |
570,000 |
| Cool Creek Crossing |
Noblesvill |
455,000 |
| Traders Point |
Indianapolis |
350,000 |
| Cool Creek Commons |
Westfield |
143,000 |
| Towne Center at Geist |
Hamilton County |
127,000 |
| 2005 PROPOSED SHOPPING CENTERS |
MARKET AREA |
SQ. FT. |
| Hazel Dell |
Noblesville |
300,000 |
| Greenwood Springs |
Greenwood |
212,000 |
| Westfield Marketplace |
Westfield |
175,000 |
| West Carmel Marketplace |
Carmel |
165,000 |
| Springmill Commons |
Westfield |
110,000 |
| Oak Manor North |
Westfield |
75,000 |
| Villages at Geist |
Fishers |
70,000 |
Source: Colliers Turley Martin Tucker
Midwest Hospitality Market Snapshot
In major markets, four primary segments are in high demand: upscale
limited service, focused service brands, extended stay, and full
service. Development in the economy/budget sector is at a halt.
Developers are looking for markets with high entry barriers and
higher land costs with limited sites available. In particular, developers
are seeking niche products and brands. For example, extended stay
is very active because it has not been overdeveloped nationally
due to higher initial capital costs versus other limited-service
brands.
—Robert A. Zache, CCIM, president of Central Place
Real Estate
Original source: http://www.ciremagazine.com/article.php?article_id=808
“Midwest Markets Grow”
© CCIM Institute.
Reprinted with permission from
Commercial Investment Real Estate, volume XXIV no. 3, p.44-45.
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